Headshot of Jason Merrick

Jason Merrick


Area: Supply Chain Management and Analytics

  • Snead Hall
  • 301 W. Main Street
  • Box 844000
  • Richmond, VA, 23284-4000
  • Office: B4141


  • Decision Analysis
  • Maritime Risk Assessment
  • Supply Chain Simulation


  • Decision Analytics, Forecasting, Simulation.
  • Decision & Risk Analysis, Bayesian Statistics, Simulation.

Jason Merrick has worked on projects assessing oil spill and counter-terrorism risk as well as supply chain agility, design, and sustainability. His research has been published in leading journals like Production and Operations Management, the Journal of Operations Management, Management Science, and the Journal of the American Statistical Association, and he has received grants from the National Science Foundation, the Federal Aviation Administration, the United States Coast Guard, the American Bureau of Shipping, British Petroleum, Booz Allen Hamilton, Deloitte Consulting, and the Makah Tribal Council, amongst others. He has also worked on projects with Proctor & Gamble, Cummins, McKesson, McCormick, Bush Brothers, Takeda, Afton, and an NFL team. He is a former President of the Decision Analysis Society and has a bachelor's in mathematics and computation from Oxford University and a doctorate in operations research from George Washington University.


Published Intellectual Contributions
Book Chapter
  • Baucells, M., Leclerc, P., Lewandowski, M., Merrick, J. R. (in press). Predicting Behavior in Games: Loss Aversion vs. Rank Dependent Utility vs. Range Utility Theory. In Behavioral Decision Analysis: Designing and Using Prescriptive Decision Support Models. Springer Nature.
Journal Article
  • Soule, D., Grushka-Cockayne, Y., Merrick, J. R. (2023). A Heuristic for Combining Correlated Experts When There Are Few Data. Management Science. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2021.02009
  • Shockley, J., Merrick, J. R., Liu, X., Smith, J. (2023). How much do customer ordering practices drive medical supplies distribution (in)efficiency for primary care markets?. Production and Operations Management. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.14068
  • Cook, E. L., Merrick, J. R. (2022). Technology Implementation at Capital One. INFORMS Journal on Applied Analytics. DOI: 10.1287/inte.2022.1135
  • Merrick, J. R., Dorsey, C. A., Wang, B., Grabowski, M., Harrald, J. R. (2022). Measuring Prediction Accuracy in a Maritime Accident Warning System. (vol. 32(1), pp.819-827). Production and Operations Management. DOI: 10.1111/poms.13581
  • Dohmen, A., Saunders, L., Merrick, J. R., Stank, T., Goldsby, T. (2022). When Preemptive Risk Mitigation is Insufficient: The Effectiveness of Continuity and Resilience Techniques During COVID-19. Production and Operations Management. DOI: 10.1111/poms.13677
  • Saunders, L. W., Merrick, J. R., Holcomb, M. (2021). Microdosing flexibility in an efficient supply chain. (vol. 67(3), pp.407-416). Journal of Operations Management. DOI: 10.1002/joom.1117
  • Saunders, L., Brooks, J. P., Merrick, J. R., Autry, C. (2020). Addressing Economic/Environmental Sustainability Tradeoffs in Procurement Episodes with Industrial Suppliers. (vol. 29(5), pp.1256-1269). Production and Operations Management. DOI: 10.1111/poms.13162
  • Dorsey, C., Wang, B., Grabowski, M., Merrick, J. R., Harrald, J. R. (2020). Self healing databases for predictive risk analytics in safety-critical systems. (vol. 63, pp.1-11). Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries. DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2019.104014
  • Syed, R., Merrick, J. R., Dhillon, G. S. (2019). Identity Protection Value Model: A Design Science Approach to Assess Value Gaps on Social Media. (vol. 50(3), pp.498-536). Decision Sciences. DOI: 10.1111/deci.12335
  • Mazicioglu, D., Merrick, J. R. (2018). Behavioral Modeling of Adversaries with Multiple Objectives in Counter-terrorism. (vol. 38(5), pp.962-977). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12898
  • Leclerc, P., Merrick, J. R. (2016). Modeling Adversaries in Counter-terrorism Decisions Using Prospect Theory. (vol. 36(4), pp.681-693). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/risa.12254
  • Merrick, J. R., Grabowski, M. (2014). Decision Performance and Safety Performance: A Value Focused Thinking Study in the Oil Industry. (vol. 11(2), pp.105-116). Decision Analysis. DOI: 10.1287/deca.2014.0291
  • Merrick, J. R., Parnell, G. S. (2011). A Comparative Analysis of PRA and Intelligent Adversary Methods for Counterterrorism Risk Management. (vol. 31(9), pp.1488-1510). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01590.x
  • Merrick, J. R., McLay, L. A. (2010). Is Screening Cargo Containers for Smuggled Nuclear Threats Worthwhile?. (vol. 7(2), pp.155-171). Decision Analysis. DOI: 10.1287/deca.1100.0171
  • Merrick, J. R., Harrald, J. R. (2007). Making decisions about safety in US ports and waterways. (vol. 37(3), pp.240-252). Interfaces. DOI: 10.1287/inte.1060.0258
  • Merrick, J. R., Hardin, J. R., Walker, R. (2006). Partnerships in training. (vol. 36(4), pp.359-368). Interfaces. DOI: 10.1287/inte.1060.0202
  • Merrick, J. R., van Dorp, R, (2006). Speaking the truth in maritime risk assessment. (vol. 26(1), pp.223-237). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00708.x
  • Merrick, J. R., Soyer, R., Mazzuchi, T. (2005). Are maintenance practices for railroad tracks effective?. (vol. 100(469), pp.17-25). Journal of the American Statistical Association. DOI: 10.1198/016214504000002104
  • Merrick, J. R., Grabowski, M., Ayyalasomayajula, P., Harrald, JR, (2005). Understanding organizational safety using value-focused thinking. (vol. 25(4), pp.1029-1041). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00654.x
  • Merrick, J. R., Soyer, R., Mazzuchi, T. (2003). A Bayesian semiparametric analysis of the reliability and maintenance of machine tools. (vol. 45(1), pp.58-69). Technometrics. DOI: 10.1198/004017002188618707
  • Merrick, J. R., van Dorp, JR,, Mazzuchi, T., Harrald, JR,, Spahn, J., Grabowski, M. (2002). The Prince William Sound risk assessment. (vol. 32(6), pp.25-40). Interfaces. DOI: 10.1287/inte.
  • van Dorp, JR,, Merrick, J. R., Harrald, JR,, Mazzuchi, T., Grabowski, M. (2001). A risk management procedure for the Washington state ferries. (vol. 21(1), pp.127-142). Risk Analysis. DOI: 10.1111/0272-4332.211096